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J1 League | Gameweek 35
Nov 3, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Machida Zelvia

Suzuki (20'), Terayama (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dresevic (66')
Fujio (73')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawMachida Zelvia
28.23% (0.426 0.43) 26.15% (0.439 0.44) 45.62% (-0.868 -0.87)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-1.506 -1.51)53.12% (1.503 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-1.294 -1.29)74.69% (1.291 1.29)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.467 -0.47)33.63% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.509 -0.51)70.28% (0.506 0.51)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-1.042 -1.04)23.22% (1.038 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-1.542 -1.54)57.13% (1.538 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 28.23%
    Machida Zelvia 45.62%
    Draw 26.14%
Sagan TosuDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.391 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 5 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, October 5 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, August 31 at 10am in J1 League


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