Defensively dubious but boasting one of French football's most potent strikers, Metz can hold out for a score draw on away soil.
Saint-Etienne have not been convincing in recent weeks, so they may be content to simply stay in the tie ahead of Sunday's return.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.