SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Minnesota United |
51.39% ( 0.02) | 22.12% ( -0) | 26.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( -0.02) | 36.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( -0.02) | 58.75% ( 0.02) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( -0) | 14.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.53% ( -0) | 42.47% ( -0) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.03) | 26.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( -0.04) | 61.42% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 4.37% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.48% |
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