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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
39.16% ( 0.11) | 23.6% ( 0.02) | 37.25% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.1) | 38.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.11) | 61.18% ( 0.11) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( 0.01) | 20.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( 0.01) | 52.45% ( -0.01) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.11) | 21.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( -0.17) | 53.9% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.25% |
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