SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | St Louis City |
68.24% ( 0.06) | 17.18% ( -0.02) | 14.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.02) | 30.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.02) | 51.53% ( 0.02) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.86% ( 0.01) | 8.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.46% ( 0.02) | 28.54% ( -0.02) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.07) | 33.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( -0.07) | 70.26% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 14.58% |
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