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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
LL

Salernitana
0 - 1
Lecce


Coulibaly (30'), Maggiore (45'), Pirola (73'), Zanoli (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyomber (17' og.)
Ramadani (49'), Piccoli (54'), Pongracic (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-0 Lecce

It is unknown how Gotti's Lecce appointment elicits a reaction in the struggling side, but erring on the side of caution is the sensible move to opt for a scoreless draw at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawLecce
32.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 41.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.2 0.2)52.99% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.171 0.17)74.58% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.163 0.16)30.75% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.192 0.19)67.01% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.04% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.13%
    Lecce 41.35%
    Draw 26.5%
SalernitanaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, February 4 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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