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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
51.21% ( 0.11) | 22.94% ( -0.02) | 25.85% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0.04) | 41.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.59% ( 0.04) | 63.4% ( -0.04) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.05) | 16.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( 0.09) | 45.57% ( -0.09) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.04) | 29.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.05) | 65.01% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 25.85% |
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