SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (13.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
34.46% ( 0.09) | 30.45% ( 0.29) | 35.09% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 40.97% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.52% ( -0.85) | 66.49% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.09% ( -0.58) | 84.92% ( 0.59) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.41) | 36.21% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( -0.41) | 73% ( 0.42) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( -0.72) | 35.78% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( -0.75) | 72.55% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.96% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.44% | 0-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.08% |
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