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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
69.61% ( -0.66) | 16.59% ( 0.19) | 13.79% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.84% ( 0.22) | 29.15% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.28) | 50.16% ( -0.28) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.43% ( -0.08) | 7.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.9% ( -0.2) | 27.1% ( 0.2) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 0.79) | 33.86% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( 0.85) | 70.53% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.43% Total : 13.79% |
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