Both sides looked comfortable soaking up pressure against stronger opposition last week, despite both falling to defeat.
However, when the impetus is on them, the goal threat of both sides is still questionable, so this could be a cagey encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.04) 
