SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
42.46% ( 0.02) | 23.71% ( -0.01) | 33.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.06) | 40.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.06) | 62.39% ( -0.06) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( 0.04) | 19.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( 0.05) | 50.84% ( -0.05) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( 0.03) | 23.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( 0.03) | 57.39% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.84% |
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