SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seychelles | Draw | Burundi |
10.52% ( 0.17) | 17.67% ( 0.17) | 71.81% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.29) | 43.5% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.28) | 65.89% ( 0.29) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.25% ( 0.13) | 48.75% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.22% ( 0.09) | 83.77% ( -0.09) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% ( -0.16) | 10.76% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.25% ( -0.37) | 34.75% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seychelles | Draw | Burundi |
| 1-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 10.52% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.68% | 0-2 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 9.69% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 5.4% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 71.8% |
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