SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Polissya Zhytomyr win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
61.16% ( -0.6) | 21.41% ( 0.19) | 17.42% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -0.11) | 44.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( -0.1) | 67.11% ( 0.1) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.22) | 14.14% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( -0.43) | 41.79% ( 0.43) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.43) | 39.18% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( 0.4) | 75.89% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.42% |
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