SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
40.25% ( 0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.33) | 53.64% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.28) | 75.13% ( 0.28) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.11) | 26.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( -0.15) | 61.24% ( 0.15) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0.27) | 30.48% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( -0.32) | 66.69% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.02% |
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