SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 50.41% | 24.29% | 25.29% |
| Both teams to score 54.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% | 47.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% | 69.74% |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% | 18.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% | 50.35% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% | 33.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% | 69.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.29% |
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