Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
