Chengdu have been an unstoppable force on the league front, having not lost since October, and are predictably big favourites for this clash.
With their opponents on a 26-game unbeaten run, Shenzhen are unlikely to be the side to end that, despite their respectable recent home form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
0.54) 
-0.84) 
