SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
49.01% ( 0.48) | 22.72% ( 0.45) | 28.27% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( -2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( -2.8) | 38.01% ( 2.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( -3.06) | 60.27% ( 3.06) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.87) | 15.81% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( -1.63) | 44.97% ( 1.63) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -2.02) | 25.81% ( 2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -2.81) | 60.76% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.77)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.27% |
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