SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.28%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
11.72% ( -0.02) | 18.95% ( -0.02) | 69.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 0.03) | 45.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( 0.03) | 68.2% ( -0.03) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% ( -0.02) | 48.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.72% ( -0.01) | 83.28% ( 0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.02) | 12.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.35% ( 0.04) | 37.65% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 11.72% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.95% | 0-2 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.45% 0-5 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 69.32% |
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