SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
26.23% ( 0.59) | 23.78% ( 0.4) | 49.99% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -1.29) | 44.52% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -1.26) | 66.89% ( 1.27) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -0.23) | 30.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( -0.27) | 66.9% ( 0.27) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.86) | 17.89% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -1.5) | 48.68% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.63% Total : 49.99% |
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