SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Sochi win was 2-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
37.71% ( 0.21) | 24.54% ( 0.36) | 37.76% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -1.75) | 43.46% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( -1.74) | 65.86% ( 1.74) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.68) | 22.9% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( -1.01) | 56.65% ( 1) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -1.07) | 22.87% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -1.6) | 56.61% ( 1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.76% |
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