SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.85%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Eswatini |
59.82% ( -1.39) | 25.6% ( 1) | 14.57% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 35.52% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.92% ( -2.38) | 64.08% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.76% ( -1.72) | 83.24% ( 1.73) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( -1.52) | 21.69% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( -2.38) | 54.84% ( 2.38) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.36% ( -0.85) | 54.64% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.34% ( -0.52) | 87.66% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 18.11% ( 0.75) 2-0 @ 13.84% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.82% | 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 1.01) 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.28% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.57% |
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