SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
63.66% ( -0.07) | 20.25% ( 0.01) | 16.1% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.05) | 41.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( 0.05) | 64.36% ( -0.05) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( -0) | 12.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.47% ( -0.01) | 38.53% ( 0.01) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.87% ( 0.1) | 39.13% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( 0.09) | 75.84% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.64% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 16.1% |
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