SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Colombia |
67.92% ( 0.01) | 19.95% | 12.13% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( -0.01) | 49.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0) | 71.16% ( 0.01) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -0) | 13.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% | 40.45% ( 0) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.61% ( -0.01) | 49.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.77% ( -0.01) | 84.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Colombia |
| 2-0 @ 13.36% 1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 67.91% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.69% 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 12.13% |
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