SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
35.71% ( -1.69) | 24.02% ( -0.49) | 40.27% ( 2.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( 2.21) | 41.14% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( 2.22) | 63.53% ( -2.22) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0.11) | 22.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( 0.17) | 56.64% ( -0.17) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 2.03) | 20.62% ( -2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% ( 3.11) | 53.18% ( -3.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.49)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.27% |
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