SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
71.3% ( -3.29) | 17.46% ( 1.59) | 11.23% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( -2.38) | 40.47% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( -2.49) | 62.85% ( 2.49) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% ( -1.38) | 10.08% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.8% ( -3.28) | 33.2% ( 3.28) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.55% ( 1.68) | 45.45% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.71% ( 1.29) | 81.29% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.5)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.78)4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.54)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.29% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.76) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.85% Total : 17.46% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.23% |
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