SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Frosinone |
54.14% ( -0.06) | 23.95% ( 0.05) | 21.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.19) | 49.33% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.17) | 71.38% ( 0.17) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.1) | 18.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( -0.16) | 49.08% ( 0.16) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( -0.1) | 37.03% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% ( -0.09) | 73.81% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 54.13% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.91% |
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