Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
