SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 56.79% | 20.86% | 22.36% |
| Both teams to score 62.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.15% | 34.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.18% | 56.82% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% | 12.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.03% | 37.97% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.72% | 64.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 6.76% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.55% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 0.94% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.35% Total : 22.36% |
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