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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Martin Torres

Ameliano
2 - 1
Danubio

Valdez (35'), Gonzalez (41')
Vera (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ancheta (8')
Brazionis (4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Ameliano and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Ameliano
Thursday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Rampla
Friday, May 3 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Sportivo AmelianoDrawDanubio
33.66% (0.126 0.13) 27.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 38.65% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.146 -0.15)57.26% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.116 -0.12)78.11% (0.11399999999999 0.11)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)68.33% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)28.77% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38% (-0.213 -0.21)64.62% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Ameliano 33.65%
    Danubio 38.64%
    Draw 27.69%
Sportivo AmelianoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 38.64%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Ameliano
Thursday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ameliano 1-4 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ameliano 2-0 Olimpia
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guarani 3-1 Ameliano
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Rampla
Friday, May 3 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 3-5 Danubio
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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