Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
69.21% ( -0.23) | 16.09% ( 0.07) | 14.7% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 66.07% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.65% ( 0.02) | 24.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.94% ( 0.03) | 44.06% ( -0.03) |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.53% ( -0.04) | 6.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.82% ( -0.1) | 24.18% ( 0.09) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( 0.2) | 29.36% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( 0.25) | 65.35% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.83% 4-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 69.21% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 16.09% | 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 14.7% |
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