SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
52.68% ( -0.38) | 22.53% ( 0.12) | 24.79% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.3) | 40.1% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( -0.31) | 62.47% ( 0.31) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( -0.23) | 15.3% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.98% ( -0.44) | 44.02% ( 0.44) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0.05) | 29.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( 0.06) | 65.42% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.84% Total : 52.68% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 24.79% |
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