SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
46.36% ( -0.04) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 28.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( -0.02) | 46.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.02) | 69.05% ( 0.01) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.02) | 20.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( -0.03) | 52.6% ( 0.03) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 0.01) | 65.92% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.92% |
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