SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.19% ( -2.86) | 19.55% ( -0.56) | 65.26% ( 3.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -4.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -2.85) | 40.58% ( 2.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -2.99) | 62.96% ( 2.99) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( -5.17) | 39.45% ( 5.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( -5.17) | 76.15% ( 5.18) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( 0.08) | 11.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.28% ( 0.17) | 36.72% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.67)2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.44)Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.19% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.7)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.55% | 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 1.39) 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 1.27)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.61% ( 1.02)1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.09% ( 0.56)1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.49)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.26)0-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.24)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 65.26% |
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