SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.27% ( -0.3) | 21% ( -0.39) | 60.73% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( 1.29) | 41.54% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( 1.29) | 63.94% ( -1.29) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.43) | 36.31% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( 0.43) | 73.1% ( -0.43) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( 0.62) | 13.24% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.99% ( 1.24) | 40.01% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.27% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 9.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.12)0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 6.71% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.3% Total : 60.73% |
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