SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Togo |
21.13% ( 0.23) | 26.31% ( 0.04) | 52.56% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.89% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.06% ( 0.09) | 58.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% ( 0.07) | 79.42% ( -0.07) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.3) | 43.31% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( 0.25) | 79.55% ( -0.25) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.08) | 22.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( -0.11) | 56.18% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Togo |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1% Total : 21.13% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 14.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.56% |
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