SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
59.68% ( -0.71) | 22.54% ( 0.19) | 17.78% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.02) | 48.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.02) | 71.07% ( -0.02) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( -0.23) | 16.03% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( -0.43) | 45.38% ( 0.43) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.64) | 41.28% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( 0.56) | 77.81% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.67% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.78% |
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