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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
LL

Darmstadt
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Zimmermann (49'), Franjic (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (33', 52')
Andrich (6'), Hlozek (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen's draw with Monchengladbach last time out should be considered as nothing more than a minor blip for Alonso's title hopefuls, who will be regarded as firm favourites to return to winning ways in comfortable fashion on Saturday. Die Werkself should have few problems rediscovering their goalscoring form against a leaky Darmstadt outfit, who have conceded an average of over two goals per game in the Bundesliga this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayer Leverkusen
18.69% (0.464 0.46) 20.47% (0.112 0.11) 60.83% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.64% (0.252 0.25)38.35% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.36% (0.266 0.27)60.63% (-0.273 -0.27)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (0.64800000000001 0.65)33.96% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (0.693 0.69)70.64% (-0.697 -0.7)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)12.21% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.11% (-0.178 -0.18)37.88% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 18.69%
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.83%
    Draw 20.47%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.09% (0.101 0.1)
1-0 @ 4.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.83% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.17% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 6.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.43% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 60.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-3 Dortmund
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Darmstadt
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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