SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 2 | -8 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | New Zealand |
49.16% ( -0.72) | 26.22% ( 0.17) | 24.62% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( -0.21) | 55.69% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.17) | 76.83% ( 0.17) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.41) | 22.7% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( -0.61) | 56.36% ( 0.61) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.39) | 38.04% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( 0.37) | 74.81% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
