Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
46.41% ( 0.03) | 24.74% ( -0.01) | 28.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.06% ( 0.03) | 46.94% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.81% ( 0.03) | 69.19% ( -0.03) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( 0.02) | 20.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% ( 0.04) | 52.66% ( -0.04) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( -0) | 29.96% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% ( -0) | 66.06% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.85% |
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