SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
54.76% ( -0.11) | 21.58% ( 0.05) | 23.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.82% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.16) | 36.82% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.01% ( -0.17) | 58.99% ( 0.17) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( -0.09) | 13.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.48% ( -0.17) | 40.52% ( 0.17) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.04) | 28.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.05) | 64.33% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 23.65% |
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