Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.