Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
