Both heading into the meeting with renewed confidence from their weekend results, we anticipate an entertaining encounter on Thursday and give a slight edge to the hosts, who hold more quality in their ranks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
69.38% ( 1.12)	17.77% ( -0.12)	12.85% ( -1)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-2.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.45% (

-1.9)

37.55% (

1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.22% (

-2.07)

59.78% (

2.08)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.23% (

-0.24)

9.77% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.51% (

-0.56)

32.49% (

0.57)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16% (

-2.71)

40.84% (

2.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

-2.52)

77.42% (

2.52)

Score Analysis

Toluca 69.38%

Mazatlan 12.85%

Draw 17.77%

Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.74) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.2) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.05% Total : 69.38%	1-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.77%	1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.85%