Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Lopez (2', 66'),
Volpi (58' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Queretaro |
53.17% ( 2.26) | 22.67% ( -0.36) | 24.16% ( -1.9) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0.81) |
| 58.63% ( -0.15) | 41.37% ( 0.14) |
| 36.23% ( -0.15) | 63.76% ( 0.14) |
| 84.42% ( 0.73) | 15.58% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.45% ( 1.36) | 44.55% ( -1.36) |
| 69.38% ( -1.58) | 30.61% ( 1.57) |
