SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Cerro |
32.74% ( 1.85) | 28% ( 0.38) | 39.25% ( -2.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.95) | 58.55% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% ( -0.74) | 79.12% ( 0.75) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.82) | 33.17% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( 0.9) | 69.78% ( -0.89) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( -1.7) | 29.05% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( -2.16) | 64.96% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
