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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
35.57% ( 0.03) | 27.6% ( -0.01) | 36.83% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% ( 0.05) | 56.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.32% ( 0.04) | 77.68% ( -0.04) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( 0.04) | 30.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( 0.05) | 66.56% ( -0.05) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.02) | 29.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( 0.02) | 65.62% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.83% |
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