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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
41.77% ( -0.06) | 26.64% ( 0.01) | 31.6% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.04) | 53.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.03) | 75.14% ( 0.03) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.05) | 25.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( -0.06) | 60.16% ( 0.06) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.01) | 31.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( 0.01) | 67.82% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.6% |
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