SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
37.3% ( 0.03) | 26.4% ( 0.01) | 36.29% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.04) | 51.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0.03) | 73.65% ( 0.03) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0) | 26.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0) | 62.34% ( 0) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.04) | 27.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.05) | 63.11% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.3% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.29% |
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