SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 35.36%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (12.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro |
34.39% ( 0.01) | 30.25% ( -0) | 35.36% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.11% ( 0.01) | 65.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.49% ( 0.01) | 84.5% ( -0.01) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( 0.01) | 35.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( 0.01) | 72.71% ( -0.01) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( 0) | 35.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% ( 0.01) | 72.02% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.01% Total : 34.38% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.67% 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.24% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.35% |
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