SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Liverpool |
28.78% ( -0.1) | 27.08% ( 0.21) | 44.14% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.83) | 56.4% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( -0.67) | 77.41% ( 0.67) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0.52) | 34.95% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( -0.55) | 71.69% ( 0.55) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( -0.42) | 25.39% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( -0.59) | 60.2% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.78% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.14% |
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